Race 7A

frosh-soph

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
AXCELLE BELL 5.0% 5.3% 5.6% 7.0% 9.2% 8.9% 14.6% 19.0% 25.4%
Tyler Nolasco 18.2% 14.1% 14.8% 15.2% 13.2% 10.4% 6.9% 4.8% 2.4%
Matthew Lindburg 6.2% 6.2% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 12.4% 14.5% 16.2% 18.8%
Christopher Sloggett 4.9% 5.1% 6.4% 6.2% 7.5% 10.2% 12.6% 20.2% 27.0%
Emily Avey 10.9% 11.5% 11.6% 13.7% 13.9% 13.0% 12.2% 7.9% 5.4%
Kelly Pompermayer 11.1% 11.2% 11.0% 11.9% 13.2% 13.6% 12.0% 10.4% 5.5%
Erin Pamplin 19.8% 20.2% 17.0% 13.8% 10.7% 8.8% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8%
Thomas Pentimonti 17.0% 18.1% 16.2% 13.7% 12.4% 10.2% 6.5% 4.7% 1.2%
Henry Stier 6.9% 8.4% 9.7% 9.7% 10.8% 12.4% 14.5% 14.1% 13.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.