Race 5A

south-series-7

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

7.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Tamblyn 16.4% 14.2% 14.3% 13.3% 11.6% 10.0% 7.1% 7.1% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cotta 9.4% 10.0% 9.8% 9.9% 12.1% 11.7% 11.2% 8.8% 7.2% 4.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Owen Richardson 7.2% 7.9% 7.8% 10.2% 9.1% 11.4% 11.5% 11.0% 9.6% 7.6% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Nathan Stevens 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 5.8% 5.5% 6.8% 9.1% 8.9% 12.0% 13.2% 10.4% 10.1% 5.5% 2.6%
Matthew Shapiro 13.4% 16.3% 15.6% 13.9% 10.6% 11.1% 8.1% 5.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Simeone 6.2% 7.1% 8.3% 7.8% 10.6% 10.2% 12.1% 10.2% 9.6% 8.4% 6.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Peter Giuliano 9.9% 10.7% 10.6% 10.4% 12.3% 10.7% 9.6% 9.7% 8.1% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Thomas Chronert 4.8% 5.8% 5.7% 6.5% 6.1% 7.9% 8.6% 11.4% 12.5% 9.8% 10.0% 6.8% 3.1% 1.0%
Santiago Enrique 2.0% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 4.9% 4.7% 5.3% 8.8% 13.0% 17.6% 19.2% 16.3%
Zachary Foreman 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 4.2% 3.9% 8.1% 11.5% 13.2% 19.3% 30.7%
Christopher Wands 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 4.2% 4.8% 8.7% 8.8% 11.4% 17.2% 18.0% 16.5%
Tom McKenzie 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.7% 4.7% 7.3% 9.4% 12.7% 13.6% 17.1% 22.0%
Matthew Charpentier 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 3.8% 6.4% 8.4% 12.8% 13.9% 13.6% 15.4% 10.5%
Natalie Salk 23.4% 17.1% 16.0% 13.3% 12.3% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.