Race 2A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
David Vinogradov 8.6% 9.5% 8.2% 9.2% 9.3% 10.2% 9.6% 8.0% 9.0% 7.8% 5.6% 3.8% 1.0%
Adrian Winkelman 7.9% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 9.2% 9.4% 9.7% 8.8% 7.8% 8.0% 4.7% 2.1%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.7% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 6.4% 8.8% 15.3% 48.0%
Gus Macaulay 13.6% 12.6% 11.8% 11.8% 10.6% 9.6% 8.2% 7.2% 5.8% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Jack Crager 9.9% 9.5% 9.8% 9.6% 9.1% 10.6% 9.2% 8.9% 8.3% 6.6% 4.5% 3.0% 0.9%
Skylor Sweet 8.2% 9.3% 9.2% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 9.7% 9.5% 7.8% 8.2% 6.4% 3.9% 1.4%
Nathaniel Hartwell 5.2% 4.9% 5.6% 7.0% 7.1% 6.7% 9.0% 8.6% 9.7% 10.2% 10.8% 10.1% 5.3%
Everett Botwinick 15.3% 14.0% 12.6% 12.4% 11.0% 8.3% 8.2% 7.0% 5.1% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Olivia Lowthian 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 7.3% 8.6% 9.0% 14.3% 17.8% 15.1%
Peter Foley 13.1% 14.0% 15.4% 12.2% 11.2% 8.8% 8.6% 5.8% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Pierson Falk 3.7% 4.3% 3.8% 4.2% 6.6% 5.8% 6.5% 8.4% 8.9% 11.2% 13.0% 13.9% 9.8%
Gavin Sanborn 6.3% 5.8% 6.4% 6.0% 6.9% 8.6% 8.5% 8.8% 10.0% 10.2% 10.3% 8.5% 3.5%
Sam Harris 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 6.2% 5.2% 7.2% 8.5% 11.3% 11.9% 16.4% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.