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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.67+4.72vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.36+4.62vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.39+3.99vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.44+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.46+1.15vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.10+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.62+2.87vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.47-1.79vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.31-0.02vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.51-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.81-6.14vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.29-3.08vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.63-3.18vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University-1.00-2.98vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-0.89-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Western Washington University0.6711.0%1st Place
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6.62Western Washington University0.367.7%1st Place
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6.99University of Washington-1.397.2%1st Place
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6.44University of Washington0.449.2%1st Place
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6.15University of Washington0.4610.0%1st Place
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7.93Western Washington University-0.106.2%1st Place
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9.87University of Washington-0.623.3%1st Place
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6.21Western Washington University0.479.4%1st Place
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8.98Unknown School-0.314.8%1st Place
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9.73Western Washington University-0.513.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Washington0.8116.2%1st Place
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8.92Unknown School-0.293.6%1st Place
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9.82Western Washington University-0.633.6%1st Place
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11.02Oregon State University-1.002.1%1st Place
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10.74Unknown School-0.892.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Emily Smith | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| amelia kau | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Cooper Snell | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Alexx Johnson | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| BENJAMIN NELSON | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Cece Nielsen | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 23.8% |
| Bailey Deets | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.