← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University0.70+2.62vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.12+0.94vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas0.77+0.45vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.39-1.42vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University0.51-1.03vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University0.12-1.56vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University0.51-3.03vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University0.70-4.38vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University0.12-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.62Texas A&M University0.700.1%1st Place
-
2.94University of Notre Dame1.120.2%1st Place
-
3.45University of Texas0.770.2%1st Place
-
2.58Tulane University1.390.3%1st Place
-
3.97Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
-
4.44Texas A&M University0.120.1%1st Place
-
3.97Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
-
3.62Texas A&M University0.700.1%1st Place
-
4.44Texas A&M University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Conger | 13.4% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 23.5% | 21.6% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Masie Comen | 16.3% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 29.2% | 23.1% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Woodring | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 37.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Conger | 13.4% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Woodring | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 37.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.