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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.46+5.28vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.36+4.26vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.67+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.44+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39+1.85vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.10+1.58vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.47-1.04vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.29+0.34vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.00+1.37vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.89+0.26vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.51-1.89vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.31-3.60vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.62-3.59vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.81-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28University of Washington0.469.0%1st Place
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6.26Western Washington University0.369.7%1st Place
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5.34Western Washington University0.6712.9%1st Place
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6.05University of Washington0.449.9%1st Place
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6.85University of Washington-1.396.7%1st Place
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7.58Western Washington University-0.105.8%1st Place
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5.96Western Washington University0.4710.0%1st Place
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8.34Unknown School-0.295.1%1st Place
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10.37Oregon State University-1.002.7%1st Place
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10.26Unknown School-0.892.3%1st Place
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9.11Western Washington University-0.513.4%1st Place
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8.4Unknown School-0.314.5%1st Place
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9.41University of Washington-0.623.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Washington0.8114.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zackery Martin | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Dalton Lovett | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Emily Smith | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Cooper Snell | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| BENJAMIN NELSON | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 24.6% |
| Bailey Deets | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 23.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% |
| Alexx Johnson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.2% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.