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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dalton Lovett 12.6% 13.9% 11.6% 10.2% 10.6% 10.2% 8.0% 7.2% 6.2% 4.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.4%
Aragorn Crozier 15.6% 14.8% 14.0% 12.3% 10.2% 8.8% 7.1% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Samuel Delasanta 10.5% 10.1% 10.5% 10.7% 10.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.1% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.1%
Alexx Johnson 4.4% 6.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 9.3% 8.6% 11.1% 10.8% 9.6% 6.7%
Bailey Deets 3.4% 2.9% 4.1% 2.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 8.1% 8.6% 11.6% 15.4% 23.6%
Emily Smith 8.5% 8.1% 8.5% 8.3% 8.3% 9.3% 9.8% 9.1% 9.2% 8.2% 6.2% 4.5% 1.9%
Jenna Hiegel 4.2% 3.9% 4.8% 5.2% 5.7% 5.3% 7.3% 8.1% 6.8% 9.3% 12.0% 13.8% 13.6%
Zackery Martin 10.3% 10.0% 9.4% 9.7% 10.1% 10.4% 9.6% 7.8% 7.6% 6.2% 4.8% 3.1% 1.1%
Cooper Snell 7.0% 6.7% 7.3% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.3% 8.8% 7.1% 7.0% 4.0%
Kevin Hicks 11.2% 10.2% 10.8% 12.2% 9.9% 9.7% 8.8% 8.1% 5.9% 5.5% 4.5% 2.4% 0.6%
Anna Morrow 4.0% 5.0% 4.3% 4.9% 5.9% 5.9% 6.9% 7.6% 9.3% 8.9% 11.5% 12.8% 13.0%
BENJAMIN NELSON 5.4% 5.5% 5.8% 6.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 9.2% 10.4% 11.8% 9.9% 6.8%
Quincy Spurlock 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.3% 5.3% 5.3% 6.3% 9.8% 10.8% 16.4% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.