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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.46+4.73vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.67+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.81+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.62+4.78vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.00+4.66vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.10+0.90vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.29+0.54vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.89+1.48vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.51-0.43vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.31-2.17vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.44-5.46vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.47-6.61vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.39-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73University of Washington0.4610.7%1st Place
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5.03Western Washington University0.6712.6%1st Place
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4.33University of Washington0.8116.2%1st Place
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8.78University of Washington-0.623.6%1st Place
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9.66Oregon State University-1.002.5%1st Place
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6.9Western Washington University-0.107.6%1st Place
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7.54Unknown School-0.295.9%1st Place
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9.48Unknown School-0.893.5%1st Place
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8.57Western Washington University-0.513.8%1st Place
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7.83Unknown School-0.314.4%1st Place
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5.54University of Washington0.4410.6%1st Place
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5.39Western Washington University0.479.9%1st Place
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6.22University of Washington-1.398.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zackery Martin | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Dalton Lovett | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Aragorn Crozier | 16.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
Jenna Hiegel | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
Quincy Spurlock | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 26.5% |
Cooper Snell | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
BENJAMIN NELSON | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
Bailey Deets | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 22.1% |
Anna Morrow | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% |
Alexx Johnson | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
Samuel Delasanta | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Kevin Hicks | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Emily Smith | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.