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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Zackery Martin 10.7% 9.6% 10.1% 10.0% 8.9% 10.0% 9.6% 8.2% 7.2% 6.5% 5.5% 2.9% 0.8%
Dalton Lovett 12.6% 12.6% 12.2% 12.2% 10.5% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Aragorn Crozier 16.2% 14.4% 14.6% 12.7% 11.8% 9.3% 6.9% 4.9% 3.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4%
Jenna Hiegel 3.6% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 5.3% 6.8% 6.5% 7.8% 9.7% 9.8% 10.9% 14.4% 14.5%
Quincy Spurlock 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 3.9% 5.0% 5.5% 7.5% 9.7% 10.6% 15.9% 26.5%
Cooper Snell 7.6% 6.3% 7.6% 6.7% 7.5% 9.2% 9.2% 8.5% 10.4% 8.5% 8.2% 6.7% 3.5%
BENJAMIN NELSON 5.9% 6.6% 5.5% 7.5% 6.6% 6.9% 6.8% 9.0% 8.3% 9.9% 9.9% 9.7% 7.3%
Bailey Deets 3.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 5.2% 6.1% 7.8% 9.0% 12.2% 17.1% 22.1%
Anna Morrow 3.8% 4.5% 3.6% 5.2% 4.7% 5.7% 7.6% 8.1% 8.0% 10.7% 12.3% 13.2% 12.7%
Alexx Johnson 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 5.9% 7.2% 8.4% 8.0% 9.2% 8.3% 9.8% 10.9% 9.2% 8.5%
Samuel Delasanta 10.6% 12.2% 12.3% 8.7% 9.4% 7.8% 7.8% 9.6% 7.2% 6.1% 4.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Kevin Hicks 9.9% 11.2% 11.6% 11.2% 10.5% 10.7% 9.1% 7.3% 7.0% 5.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Emily Smith 8.6% 8.6% 7.1% 9.6% 10.7% 8.5% 10.2% 8.8% 8.6% 6.8% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.