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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.81+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.46+1.91vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.29+2.32vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-1.00+2.68vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.89+1.51vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.31-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.44-3.11vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.39-3.76vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.62-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Washington0.8123.5%1st Place
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3.91University of Washington0.4616.2%1st Place
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5.32Unknown School-0.297.1%1st Place
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6.68Oregon State University-1.003.7%1st Place
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6.51Unknown School-0.894.3%1st Place
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5.34Unknown School-0.317.8%1st Place
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3.89University of Washington0.4416.4%1st Place
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4.24University of Washington-1.3914.9%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington-0.625.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 23.5% | 22.4% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Zackery Martin | 16.2% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| BENJAMIN NELSON | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 8.5% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 30.3% |
| Bailey Deets | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 27.4% |
| Alexx Johnson | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 16.4% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Emily Smith | 14.9% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.