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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.29+2.93vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-1.00+3.17vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.89+1.91vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.31-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.39-1.78vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.62-1.52vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.81-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Unknown School-0.2911.9%1st Place
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5.17Oregon State University-1.005.2%1st Place
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4.91Unknown School-0.896.2%1st Place
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3.97Unknown School-0.3111.6%1st Place
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3.22University of Washington-1.3919.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Washington-0.629.7%1st Place
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2.33University of Washington0.8136.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BENJAMIN NELSON | 11.9% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 33.8% |
| Bailey Deets | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 27.0% |
| Alexx Johnson | 11.6% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 9.1% |
| Emily Smith | 19.1% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 36.1% | 27.1% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.