← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Unknown School-0.29+2.90vs Predicted
-
2Oregon State University-1.00+3.18vs Predicted
-
3Unknown School-0.89+1.94vs Predicted
-
4Unknown School-0.31+0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-1.39-1.83vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.62-1.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.81-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.9Unknown School-0.2913.6%1st Place
-
5.18Oregon State University-1.005.3%1st Place
-
4.94Unknown School-0.896.2%1st Place
-
4.05Unknown School-0.3111.1%1st Place
-
3.17University of Washington-1.3919.7%1st Place
-
4.46University of Washington-0.628.5%1st Place
-
2.3University of Washington0.8135.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BENJAMIN NELSON | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 9.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 33.8% |
| Bailey Deets | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 26.2% |
| Alexx Johnson | 11.1% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 10.1% |
| Emily Smith | 19.7% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 17.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 35.6% | 27.3% | 18.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.