Race 6A

south-series-7

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Tamblyn 15.3% 16.5% 14.9% 13.3% 9.9% 9.1% 8.3% 5.1% 4.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
William Cotta 9.8% 10.5% 9.7% 10.3% 10.5% 11.5% 11.6% 8.6% 8.5% 4.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Matthew Shapiro 16.7% 16.8% 13.6% 13.4% 12.5% 9.1% 7.1% 5.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Simeone 5.9% 6.7% 9.2% 8.0% 10.5% 11.6% 11.0% 9.4% 10.4% 8.2% 4.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Peter Giuliano 7.3% 8.9% 11.1% 10.5% 10.9% 11.9% 9.9% 10.4% 8.0% 5.1% 3.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Owen Richardson 7.1% 6.6% 8.8% 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 11.6% 11.0% 9.4% 7.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Nathan Stevens 3.4% 5.0% 4.1% 5.2% 6.9% 6.0% 7.9% 10.8% 10.8% 13.1% 11.5% 8.7% 4.8% 1.8%
Zachary Foreman 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 5.1% 7.1% 9.6% 12.3% 20.2% 29.4%
Matthew Charpentier 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 3.1% 5.8% 8.4% 10.7% 15.7% 15.6% 15.4% 11.3%
Tom McKenzie 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 3.0% 4.9% 6.4% 10.0% 11.8% 15.0% 19.4% 20.4%
Santiago Enrique 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 4.4% 5.6% 6.7% 8.8% 12.5% 16.9% 16.8% 18.9%
Thomas Chronert 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 7.5% 9.3% 10.1% 12.2% 11.0% 11.5% 8.6% 5.6% 3.6% 1.5%
Christopher Wands 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 3.6% 3.8% 5.0% 6.3% 10.1% 13.2% 15.6% 17.3% 16.0%
Natalie Salk 23.7% 17.5% 15.1% 14.8% 11.2% 7.8% 5.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.