Race 3A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Crager 9.1% 9.2% 9.3% 10.4% 8.9% 9.8% 9.7% 8.0% 8.8% 7.5% 4.8% 3.5% 0.9%
Gus Macaulay 14.7% 12.2% 12.9% 11.1% 10.4% 9.2% 8.8% 7.4% 5.8% 3.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Olivia Lowthian 3.0% 3.6% 4.1% 4.2% 4.1% 4.0% 5.4% 6.2% 8.2% 10.4% 13.1% 18.4% 15.1%
Everett Botwinick 14.1% 14.9% 12.4% 11.6% 10.7% 9.6% 7.7% 6.5% 5.5% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1%
David Vinogradov 8.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.3% 9.4% 8.2% 9.6% 10.0% 9.2% 6.6% 7.1% 3.6% 1.5%
Skylor Sweet 8.8% 7.9% 8.4% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 10.0% 9.6% 9.3% 6.6% 6.0% 3.5% 1.1%
Adrian Winkelman 8.1% 9.0% 8.1% 7.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 8.0% 8.7% 6.9% 5.4% 1.9%
Peter Foley 14.3% 13.0% 11.5% 11.8% 10.9% 10.8% 8.8% 7.0% 5.1% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Nathaniel Hartwell 4.7% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 9.0% 10.1% 11.6% 10.8% 10.1% 6.5%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.6% 1.2% 2.5% 1.5% 2.0% 3.2% 2.3% 3.2% 5.1% 7.0% 8.8% 15.8% 45.9%
Gavin Sanborn 5.9% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.8% 8.5% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 9.3% 10.0% 7.4% 5.6%
Sam Harris 3.5% 4.7% 4.4% 4.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.5% 6.8% 8.0% 10.7% 13.0% 15.2% 11.8%
Pierson Falk 3.8% 3.9% 4.9% 5.8% 5.4% 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 10.9% 12.4% 13.9% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.