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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.86+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.40+0.77vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.71+1.33vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.59+0.17vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.08-1.44vs Predicted
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6Tulane University-0.39-2.08vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.08-3.44vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.59-3.83vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.71-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Notre Dame0.860.4%1st Place
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2.77University of Texas0.400.3%1st Place
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4.33Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.17Texas A&M University-0.590.1%1st Place
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3.56Texas A&M University-0.080.1%1st Place
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3.92Tulane University-0.390.1%1st Place
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3.56Texas A&M University-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.17Texas A&M University-0.590.1%1st Place
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4.33Texas A&M University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Koerwer | 35.6% | 28.6% | 19.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 25.4% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 31.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 22.8% | 26.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan English | 12.4% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaplan | 10.6% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 21.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan English | 12.4% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 22.8% | 26.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 31.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.