Race 1A

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Atlee Kohl 18.2% 17.3% 15.3% 13.1% 10.9% 9.5% 6.3% 4.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Mateo Rodriguez 13.7% 12.4% 13.0% 11.0% 11.6% 10.7% 9.1% 6.6% 6.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Max Anker 14.4% 14.2% 11.7% 13.1% 11.5% 9.8% 8.6% 7.1% 4.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.4%
Gordon Gurnell 11.3% 11.9% 10.8% 9.8% 10.9% 9.7% 8.9% 8.6% 8.3% 5.9% 2.6% 1.0%
Scott Harris 8.6% 9.5% 9.2% 11.6% 10.1% 11.8% 10.7% 8.6% 8.6% 6.1% 4.3% 0.9%
Sean Tallman 9.0% 9.2% 10.5% 9.6% 9.2% 9.3% 9.6% 10.2% 8.2% 8.3% 4.9% 2.1%
Emma Shakespeare 5.9% 5.9% 7.1% 7.2% 8.2% 8.1% 10.8% 10.8% 12.2% 10.8% 8.1% 4.9%
Hilton Kamps 2.7% 3.2% 3.8% 4.4% 4.9% 5.7% 6.9% 8.2% 9.9% 13.2% 19.2% 18.1%
Ian Street 3.5% 3.4% 4.3% 4.2% 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 10.3% 11.3% 14.5% 14.9% 12.3%
Roberto Martelli 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.7% 4.1% 5.0% 5.9% 8.1% 10.7% 13.7% 17.7% 19.1%
Carolina Cassedy 2.0% 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 3.4% 5.2% 6.0% 7.7% 9.8% 17.2% 37.4%
Gregory Walters 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% 8.6% 8.8% 10.3% 9.8% 11.3% 9.1% 9.8% 7.4% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.