Race 7A

south-series-7

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Tamblyn 15.8% 15.5% 14.9% 13.1% 11.5% 9.0% 7.2% 6.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Shapiro 17.0% 16.0% 15.3% 13.9% 11.9% 10.5% 6.1% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Giuliano 8.5% 10.9% 8.2% 11.0% 10.6% 10.8% 12.8% 9.6% 7.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 3.3% 5.4% 4.7% 6.5% 7.2% 8.3% 10.9% 11.0% 12.4% 10.5% 9.0% 6.5% 2.9% 1.4%
Owen Richardson 6.0% 7.6% 8.3% 10.4% 10.2% 9.4% 12.8% 10.2% 9.4% 7.0% 4.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.4%
Christopher Simeone 7.0% 6.1% 7.9% 8.2% 10.6% 11.7% 10.5% 11.6% 9.2% 8.2% 5.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
William Cotta 9.6% 9.7% 10.4% 10.6% 11.2% 12.9% 10.1% 8.4% 8.1% 5.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Nathan Stevens 3.2% 4.0% 5.8% 4.7% 6.0% 5.6% 7.2% 10.3% 12.7% 11.4% 11.0% 10.2% 6.0% 1.9%
Santiago Enrique 1.9% 1.2% 1.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 6.0% 9.6% 13.8% 16.7% 18.4% 16.9%
Matthew Charpentier 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 1.8% 1.3% 3.8% 4.8% 7.2% 8.0% 11.2% 14.3% 15.4% 13.7% 12.7%
Zachary Foreman 0.6% 1.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 2.0% 2.3% 3.8% 5.9% 7.5% 8.2% 13.7% 20.9% 30.4%
Tom McKenzie 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 4.4% 6.3% 10.0% 12.8% 14.5% 17.7% 20.9%
Christopher Wands 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.7% 5.4% 6.5% 9.7% 13.8% 15.3% 17.9% 15.1%
Natalie Salk 22.9% 18.5% 15.2% 13.2% 12.2% 7.7% 5.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.