Race 2A

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Harris 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 11.9% 10.0% 10.9% 11.3% 9.8% 7.0% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5%
Emma Shakespeare 6.2% 7.1% 6.3% 6.6% 7.8% 9.6% 9.8% 10.6% 11.4% 11.1% 8.6% 5.0%
Atlee Kohl 20.3% 17.7% 16.1% 13.5% 10.0% 7.3% 6.2% 4.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Hilton Kamps 3.0% 3.4% 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 5.3% 6.8% 8.3% 11.3% 13.2% 19.1% 18.6%
Gordon Gurnell 11.9% 9.3% 10.9% 10.7% 10.6% 10.0% 10.0% 9.8% 7.8% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9%
Max Anker 13.9% 14.1% 13.5% 12.5% 10.4% 12.1% 8.2% 6.5% 5.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Mateo Rodriguez 11.5% 13.2% 11.6% 11.5% 12.0% 10.4% 9.2% 8.6% 5.3% 4.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Sean Tallman 7.8% 8.9% 10.0% 8.8% 10.9% 10.3% 10.1% 10.2% 9.4% 8.0% 3.8% 1.6%
Gregory Walters 7.5% 7.1% 8.1% 8.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.4% 9.2% 10.3% 9.3% 7.8% 3.8%
Ian Street 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 5.8% 6.2% 8.1% 8.8% 11.3% 13.7% 16.1% 13.2%
Carolina Cassedy 2.3% 2.1% 2.9% 2.4% 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 5.9% 8.3% 11.2% 17.8% 36.7%
Roberto Martelli 2.8% 4.0% 3.2% 4.8% 6.0% 5.0% 6.5% 7.6% 10.2% 15.0% 17.2% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.