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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.97+1.39vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+1.56vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.48+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09-0.50vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston0.16+0.09vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.77-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.48-2.31vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.44-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Jacksonville University1.9735.5%1st Place
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3.56North Carolina State University1.2615.1%1st Place
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5.43Duke University0.485.8%1st Place
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3.5University of South Florida1.0917.5%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston0.165.9%1st Place
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4.07Florida State University0.7711.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Miami0.488.0%1st Place
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7.27North Carolina State University-1.441.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 35.5% | 26.7% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 15.1% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 26.8% | 11.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 17.5% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Rowan Schanley | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 8.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Ashley Delisser | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 5.1% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.