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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.97+3.59vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.47+3.97vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.99+2.56vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+4.64vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.63+1.96vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.22-0.51vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.95-3.34vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32-5.27vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.43vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.39-5.59vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.48-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59College of Charleston1.9714.0%1st Place
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5.97Eckerd College1.478.2%1st Place
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5.56North Carolina State University1.999.6%1st Place
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8.64Rollins College0.412.5%1st Place
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6.84University of South Florida1.095.5%1st Place
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7.96University of South Carolina0.634.2%1st Place
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6.49The Citadel1.226.8%1st Place
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4.66Florida State University1.9513.6%1st Place
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3.73University of Miami2.3220.9%1st Place
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8.57Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.4%1st Place
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5.41Jacksonville University1.399.2%1st Place
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9.57Duke University0.482.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Scott Harris | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 19.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Ian Street | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 20.9% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 19.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.