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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+2.50vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+0.93vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.71+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.82+1.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-0.77vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.46vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-1.49+0.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.29-0.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.90-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University3.230.3%1st Place
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3.51Stanford University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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7.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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11.04California State University Monterey Bay-1.490.0%1st Place
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11.89University of California at San Diego-2.290.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at Davis-2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 19.6% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 26.1% | 23.5% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 18.2% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 28.0% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Garcia | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 46.9% | 27.8% | 8.0% |
| Elsa Felgar | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 18.5% | 43.1% | 31.4% |
| Sarah Stowell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 10.4% | 25.4% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.