← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.97+1.39vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University0.77+2.00vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.26+0.57vs Predicted
-
4Duke University0.48+1.39vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.09-1.48vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami0.48-1.28vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston0.16-1.86vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-1.44-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39Jacksonville University1.9734.3%1st Place
-
4.0Florida State University0.7712.3%1st Place
-
3.57North Carolina State University1.2615.3%1st Place
-
5.39Duke University0.485.7%1st Place
-
3.52University of South Florida1.0916.2%1st Place
-
4.72University of Miami0.488.2%1st Place
-
5.14College of Charleston0.166.9%1st Place
-
7.27North Carolina State University-1.441.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charlotte Rose | 34.3% | 26.2% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Katie Nelson | 12.3% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
Olivia Sowa | 15.3% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
Carolina Cassedy | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 26.8% | 11.1% |
Emma Shakespeare | 16.2% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
Ashley Delisser | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 4.9% |
Rowan Schanley | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 9.1% |
Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.