Race 5A

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gordon Gurnell 10.0% 11.7% 10.9% 10.2% 10.0% 10.7% 10.3% 8.4% 7.4% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4%
Atlee Kohl 18.2% 15.6% 15.7% 13.3% 12.8% 8.6% 6.5% 5.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Emma Shakespeare 7.1% 7.5% 6.8% 7.5% 7.3% 9.0% 9.0% 11.2% 10.9% 10.7% 8.3% 4.5%
Scott Harris 10.7% 9.6% 10.0% 9.7% 9.9% 10.9% 11.0% 9.8% 8.2% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1%
Roberto Martelli 2.9% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.0% 4.5% 6.0% 9.3% 10.2% 14.1% 17.6% 19.3%
Mateo Rodriguez 13.1% 12.0% 13.1% 12.2% 11.1% 11.0% 9.4% 6.7% 5.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8%
Max Anker 13.4% 13.3% 14.0% 13.9% 11.9% 9.4% 8.2% 6.5% 4.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Gregory Walters 7.2% 7.8% 7.6% 7.2% 9.4% 10.0% 10.4% 11.2% 8.6% 9.4% 7.5% 3.6%
Hilton Kamps 3.2% 3.2% 2.9% 4.3% 4.6% 5.2% 6.3% 7.8% 11.7% 13.1% 17.4% 20.2%
Sean Tallman 8.5% 9.7% 8.3% 9.0% 9.9% 10.5% 10.2% 9.6% 8.8% 8.2% 5.0% 2.2%
Ian Street 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 6.5% 7.6% 9.0% 12.8% 13.2% 15.3% 12.4%
Carolina Cassedy 2.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.8% 4.8% 5.5% 8.8% 11.8% 18.8% 34.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.