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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.97+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.70vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.96+0.91vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.26-0.24vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.48+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.48-1.13vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.77-2.76vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.44-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Jacksonville University1.9732.4%1st Place
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3.7University of South Florida1.0916.4%1st Place
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3.91College of Charleston0.9612.8%1st Place
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3.76North Carolina State University1.2614.8%1st Place
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5.69Duke University0.483.5%1st Place
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4.87University of Miami0.487.0%1st Place
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4.24Florida State University0.7711.6%1st Place
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7.28North Carolina State University-1.441.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 32.4% | 25.0% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.4% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 12.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 14.8% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 32.8% | 14.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 6.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 2.6% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.