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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.96+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.51vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.97-0.58vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.48+1.34vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77-1.01vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.26-2.49vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.76-0.68vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.44-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73College of Charleston0.9614.2%1st Place
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3.51University of South Florida1.0914.8%1st Place
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2.42Jacksonville University1.9734.8%1st Place
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5.34Duke University0.485.3%1st Place
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3.99Florida State University0.7711.8%1st Place
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3.51North Carolina State University1.2615.4%1st Place
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6.32University of Miami-0.762.5%1st Place
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7.19North Carolina State University-1.441.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiera Oreardon | 14.2% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.8% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Rose | 34.8% | 25.1% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 25.7% | 22.4% | 9.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 11.8% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 33.6% | 28.0% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 22.2% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.