Race 8A

south-series-7

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Andrew Tamblyn 15.3% 15.8% 15.6% 13.0% 10.7% 9.7% 6.9% 5.7% 3.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Simeone 6.8% 8.4% 9.2% 10.4% 8.4% 10.1% 11.8% 10.7% 8.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.6%
Peter Giuliano 9.1% 10.2% 9.4% 11.7% 9.7% 10.3% 13.2% 7.8% 8.8% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Matthew Shapiro 15.3% 15.7% 14.9% 13.6% 12.7% 9.7% 8.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Stevens 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 5.8% 5.4% 6.6% 7.0% 10.6% 12.4% 13.3% 12.5% 9.1% 5.0% 2.8%
Matthew Charpentier 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 1.4% 3.3% 4.4% 2.6% 6.1% 9.0% 11.7% 12.5% 14.8% 15.4% 13.1%
Christopher Wands 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 2.9% 5.2% 3.7% 6.0% 6.1% 9.8% 12.0% 16.4% 17.9% 13.2%
William Cotta 9.3% 10.1% 10.0% 10.4% 10.5% 9.3% 10.9% 9.4% 8.5% 5.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Owen Richardson 7.8% 6.7% 7.2% 8.4% 11.8% 11.9% 10.2% 11.0% 9.7% 6.3% 5.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Santiago Enrique 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 3.7% 5.9% 7.0% 8.3% 13.7% 14.2% 18.3% 19.1%
Thomas Chronert 4.1% 4.5% 5.1% 6.5% 7.9% 7.0% 10.4% 10.9% 10.9% 13.3% 8.4% 6.4% 3.7% 0.9%
Zachary Foreman 0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 0.8% 2.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.0% 4.6% 7.0% 10.1% 15.4% 17.9% 31.1%
Tom McKenzie 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 3.3% 3.3% 3.1% 5.0% 5.6% 9.1% 12.3% 15.0% 19.1% 18.9%
Natalie Salk 23.9% 18.0% 15.7% 13.7% 9.8% 8.1% 5.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.