← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Duke University0.48+4.39vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.97+0.44vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.09+0.54vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University0.77+0.07vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami-0.76+1.34vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston0.96-2.39vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.26-3.47vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-1.44-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.39Duke University0.484.9%1st Place
-
2.44Jacksonville University1.9733.0%1st Place
-
3.54University of South Florida1.0915.6%1st Place
-
4.07Florida State University0.7710.8%1st Place
-
6.34University of Miami-0.762.2%1st Place
-
3.61College of Charleston0.9616.2%1st Place
-
3.53North Carolina State University1.2615.7%1st Place
-
7.09North Carolina State University-1.441.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carolina Cassedy | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 24.9% | 24.6% | 9.0% |
Charlotte Rose | 33.0% | 26.2% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Emma Shakespeare | 15.6% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Katie Nelson | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
Julianna Skoglund | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 34.1% | 27.4% |
Kiera Oreardon | 16.2% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
Olivia Sowa | 15.7% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
Jane Caroline Minchew | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 18.9% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.