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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+1.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63-0.02vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.50+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+2.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+1.81vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.70+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.85-3.65vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.97vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-2.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.21-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Stanford University3.060.3%1st Place
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1.98Stanford University3.630.4%1st Place
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3.43Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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8.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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10.03University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.23California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 25.5% | 24.5% | 23.0% | 16.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 43.4% | 30.4% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 12.1% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 9.6% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 2.9% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 8.2% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 13.1% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 5.7% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.