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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Atlee Kohl 18.6% 19.1% 15.2% 13.6% 10.9% 8.4% 7.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Anker 14.0% 12.8% 13.6% 12.8% 12.9% 9.7% 9.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Gregory Walters 6.2% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 10.3% 10.2% 10.0% 10.6% 11.0% 8.6% 6.5% 2.6%
Roberto Martelli 3.8% 2.8% 3.8% 5.1% 4.7% 5.1% 7.4% 8.5% 10.7% 13.4% 17.6% 17.2%
Mateo Rodriguez 13.1% 12.2% 13.1% 14.1% 10.8% 10.8% 8.2% 6.6% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Hilton Kamps 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.6% 5.5% 7.0% 9.0% 10.7% 14.6% 16.9% 17.1%
Carolina Cassedy 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.4% 5.1% 6.5% 9.8% 12.3% 17.6% 32.5%
Ian Street 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 4.9% 6.0% 7.6% 8.0% 9.8% 11.1% 12.8% 13.2% 13.6%
Emma Shakespeare 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 8.6% 9.2% 8.8% 11.1% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8% 7.1% 3.1%
Scott Harris 9.3% 10.5% 9.8% 10.0% 11.2% 11.6% 10.9% 9.6% 7.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.1%
Cameron Robinson 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 4.8% 5.2% 7.1% 6.9% 11.2% 11.3% 14.1% 13.9% 11.8%
Charlotte Rose 14.8% 14.7% 13.7% 10.4% 11.2% 10.9% 8.6% 6.8% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.