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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+2.43vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.06+0.66vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63-1.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+3.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.90vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+2.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.58-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.85-2.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.96vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.21-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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2.66Stanford University3.060.2%1st Place
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2.0Stanford University3.630.4%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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8.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.04University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.21California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 13.8% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 23.3% | 29.2% | 22.7% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 44.4% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.6% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 8.9% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 13.2% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 5.5% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.