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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+4.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.97+1.47vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.99+1.39vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+3.41vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32-2.29vs Predicted
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7Washington University0.71+0.92vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.22-1.67vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.51vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.48-0.60vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.63-3.17vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.97-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Florida State University1.9512.6%1st Place
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6.68University of South Florida1.097.4%1st Place
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4.47College of Charleston1.9713.4%1st Place
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5.39North Carolina State University1.9910.2%1st Place
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8.41Rollins College0.412.9%1st Place
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3.71University of Miami2.3220.1%1st Place
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7.92Washington University0.713.6%1st Place
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6.33The Citadel1.227.3%1st Place
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8.49Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.1%1st Place
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9.4Duke University0.482.1%1st Place
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7.83University of South Carolina0.634.4%1st Place
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4.68Jacksonville University1.9712.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mateo Rodriguez | 12.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Emma Shakespeare | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
Max Anker | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Scott Harris | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Hilton Kamps | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
Atlee Kohl | 20.1% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Cameron Robinson | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
Gregory Walters | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
Roberto Martelli | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
Carolina Cassedy | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 33.4% |
Ian Street | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.8% |
Charlotte Rose | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.