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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+2.50vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.06+0.69vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63-0.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+2.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.85-1.61vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.36-1.42vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33-1.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.70-2.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.21-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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2.69Stanford University3.060.2%1st Place
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2.03Stanford University3.630.4%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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7.58California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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9.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 13.7% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 24.0% | 27.1% | 22.7% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 43.7% | 26.6% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 1.5% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| David Macko | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Andreas Balslev | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 4.6% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 26.6% | 13.3% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 22.6% | 10.2% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 14.7% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.