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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+1.69vs Predicted
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3The Citadel1.22+3.24vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.97+0.46vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+3.37vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.53vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.99-1.56vs Predicted
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8Washington University0.71-0.09vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.48+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.09-3.26vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.63-3.15vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.97-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Florida State University1.9512.9%1st Place
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3.69University of Miami2.3220.3%1st Place
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6.24The Citadel1.227.3%1st Place
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4.46College of Charleston1.9715.1%1st Place
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8.37Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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8.53Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.1%1st Place
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5.44North Carolina State University1.999.7%1st Place
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7.91Washington University0.714.0%1st Place
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9.39Duke University0.481.8%1st Place
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6.74University of South Florida1.096.3%1st Place
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7.85University of South Carolina0.634.0%1st Place
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4.68Jacksonville University1.9712.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mateo Rodriguez | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Atlee Kohl | 20.3% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Gregory Walters | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
Max Anker | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
Roberto Martelli | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 17.2% |
Scott Harris | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Cameron Robinson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% |
Carolina Cassedy | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 34.3% |
Emma Shakespeare | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
Ian Street | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 11.1% |
Charlotte Rose | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.