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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.06+1.71vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.50+1.47vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63-0.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+3.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+2.95vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+3.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-2.85vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.85-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.20vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.36-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.97-1.60vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.21-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Stanford University3.060.2%1st Place
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3.47Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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2.01Stanford University3.630.4%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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9.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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8.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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7.43California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 23.7% | 26.6% | 22.5% | 15.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 14.6% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 42.2% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Christensen | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Andreas Balslev | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 22.5% | 9.2% |
| David Macko | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 26.7% | 16.3% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 14.0% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.