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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+2.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63-0.04vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06-0.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.80vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+2.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.97+2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.85-2.67vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-0.89vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.70-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.21-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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1.96Stanford University3.630.4%1st Place
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2.65Stanford University3.060.2%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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8.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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10.05University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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9.11California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 14.1% | 16.1% | 23.8% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 44.9% | 29.4% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 23.3% | 28.5% | 23.0% | 15.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.0% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Balslev | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 27.0% | 11.7% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 5.7% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 8.3% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.