Race 1B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Axel Stordahl 17.6% 16.4% 14.0% 12.0% 10.5% 9.7% 7.5% 6.5% 3.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Eden Nykamp 11.5% 11.7% 10.4% 11.5% 11.8% 9.2% 12.2% 8.0% 7.0% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Matthew King 11.2% 11.8% 11.6% 11.3% 11.1% 10.8% 8.8% 9.6% 7.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Adam Larson 15.6% 14.8% 15.1% 12.2% 12.4% 9.8% 8.2% 5.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
David Manley 8.3% 10.2% 9.2% 8.5% 10.1% 10.2% 10.7% 11.3% 9.1% 7.6% 3.6% 1.1%
Natalie Aramendia 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 5.8% 7.0% 12.1% 18.9% 39.6%
Cole Woerner 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 5.2% 5.5% 7.1% 11.5% 15.7% 19.7% 21.2%
Sydney Monahan 9.2% 8.0% 10.7% 10.7% 10.0% 10.9% 11.1% 10.2% 8.3% 6.5% 3.6% 0.9%
Zachary Ward 5.8% 4.4% 5.9% 6.9% 8.2% 8.7% 9.9% 11.7% 12.9% 12.2% 9.0% 4.4%
Joey Meagher 12.0% 12.0% 11.8% 12.4% 10.8% 10.7% 10.0% 8.8% 6.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Carly Orhan 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 5.7% 5.3% 6.9% 7.1% 8.2% 13.2% 16.2% 15.3% 11.0%
Lewis Bragg 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.9% 3.9% 4.4% 5.7% 7.0% 10.2% 13.9% 23.5% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.