← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.50+2.42vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.63-0.01vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.16vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+4.88vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.83vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.06-3.35vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California0.85-0.74vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay-0.45+1.03vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-1.11vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.37vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.96vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis-2.21+0.02vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
-
1.99Stanford University3.630.4%1st Place
-
4.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
-
8.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
-
6.83University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
2.65Stanford University3.060.2%1st Place
-
6.26University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
9.03California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
9.63University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
-
10.04University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
12.02University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
-
8.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 13.7% | 17.3% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 14.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 43.8% | 29.7% | 15.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.7% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 23.1% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 24.3% | 27.8% | 22.6% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 5.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 9.3% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 12.4% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 65.8% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.