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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+2.39vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06-0.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+2.76vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.85+0.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.58-0.17vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+0.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.14vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.45-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.70-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.21-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Stanford University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.27Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.57Stanford University3.060.3%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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8.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.07California State University Monterey Bay-0.450.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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8.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 17.0% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 35.7% | 28.4% | 19.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 26.8% | 27.3% | 22.2% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 9.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 2.8% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 26.8% | 13.0% |
| Lauren Orloff | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 8.6% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 14.8% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.