Race 9A

south-series-7

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Simeone 5.6% 7.0% 9.6% 7.4% 11.1% 8.1% 11.2% 10.2% 10.8% 9.2% 4.8% 2.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Matthew Shapiro 15.6% 15.7% 15.0% 11.5% 13.3% 9.8% 8.8% 4.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 15.3% 14.1% 11.8% 13.0% 10.5% 11.3% 9.8% 6.1% 5.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kristen Holloway 10.0% 11.1% 13.0% 10.4% 9.4% 12.5% 9.4% 10.3% 7.0% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Owen Richardson 4.9% 7.4% 7.6% 9.8% 10.6% 9.8% 9.7% 11.6% 10.4% 8.9% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Tom McKenzie 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 3.6% 3.4% 6.5% 6.9% 14.5% 16.3% 19.2% 20.6%
Matthew Stroebel 10.1% 9.5% 8.1% 11.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 11.2% 7.9% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Nathan Stevens 3.6% 3.5% 5.1% 4.3% 5.2% 6.1% 5.8% 9.8% 12.3% 12.8% 12.8% 10.0% 6.5% 2.2%
Peter Giuliano 7.7% 7.6% 9.2% 9.1% 9.9% 12.0% 12.8% 10.3% 9.3% 6.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Zachary Foreman 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 3.1% 4.3% 6.9% 10.9% 16.4% 19.1% 30.5%
Santiago Enrique 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 3.8% 6.3% 5.8% 8.8% 12.8% 18.4% 18.3% 17.0%
Christopher Wands 0.9% 0.7% 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 4.6% 7.0% 11.5% 14.5% 14.5% 17.0% 18.1%
Matthew Charpentier 1.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 4.1% 3.4% 5.5% 8.2% 12.9% 15.0% 15.0% 15.5% 10.5%
Natalie Salk 21.5% 18.2% 13.1% 15.8% 10.1% 8.3% 6.6% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.