Race 6A

vietor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gus Macaulay 14.3% 12.3% 12.4% 10.2% 11.2% 10.2% 8.2% 7.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Adrian Winkelman 8.5% 8.4% 8.0% 8.6% 9.2% 8.6% 8.5% 8.6% 8.2% 8.1% 7.7% 5.1% 2.6%
Olivia Lowthian 2.7% 3.5% 3.5% 4.6% 4.2% 5.5% 6.1% 7.0% 7.4% 10.7% 11.8% 18.4% 14.6%
Skylor Sweet 7.6% 9.8% 9.6% 9.4% 9.8% 9.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.7% 6.7% 5.4% 4.1% 1.7%
Peter Foley 15.8% 13.6% 13.2% 11.6% 11.7% 8.9% 8.0% 5.9% 5.2% 2.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.4%
Nathaniel Hartwell 4.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.0% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 8.8% 10.8% 10.0% 11.9% 10.0% 5.9%
Jack Crager 9.3% 9.3% 10.3% 9.7% 7.4% 9.9% 9.4% 9.2% 8.9% 6.9% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
David Vinogradov 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 9.3% 10.1% 9.8% 9.6% 8.8% 8.7% 7.8% 5.8% 4.5% 0.8%
Everett Botwinick 14.6% 13.5% 12.7% 13.4% 9.2% 8.7% 8.2% 7.0% 5.2% 4.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Pierson Falk 3.9% 4.3% 5.7% 4.8% 5.1% 6.5% 7.3% 7.3% 8.8% 9.9% 13.5% 13.5% 9.5%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 4.8% 7.1% 8.2% 15.4% 46.7%
Sam Harris 3.5% 4.2% 3.5% 4.0% 6.0% 5.1% 6.7% 8.0% 8.6% 10.6% 13.3% 14.6% 11.9%
Gavin Sanborn 5.7% 6.1% 5.4% 6.8% 6.7% 8.5% 8.3% 9.7% 8.8% 10.9% 10.2% 8.8% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.