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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.35vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.50+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.58+4.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+2.89vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.06-3.45vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.85-0.62vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.36-0.48vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.97+0.30vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.70-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.21-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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3.38Stanford University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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2.55Stanford University3.060.3%1st Place
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6.38University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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7.52California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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9.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 33.8% | 26.3% | 21.5% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 16.2% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 21.5% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 28.8% | 27.5% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| David Macko | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Andreas Balslev | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 5.3% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 28.2% | 14.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 8.8% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 6.7% | 14.7% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.