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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.88+3.14vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.78+2.19vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.13vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.10+4.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.18+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54-0.97vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+2.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.84-1.93vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.57-0.04vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.44-5.23vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.62-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14College of Charleston1.8817.0%1st Place
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4.19North Carolina State University1.7816.8%1st Place
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5.13Jacksonville University1.5510.8%1st Place
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8.21Rollins College0.102.6%1st Place
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5.67University of South Carolina1.189.0%1st Place
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5.03University of South Florida1.5411.5%1st Place
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9.0Georgia Institute of Technology-0.083.2%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.9%1st Place
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7.07University of Miami0.845.2%1st Place
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9.96Duke University-0.571.1%1st Place
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5.77University of South Florida1.449.0%1st Place
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4.82Florida State University1.6211.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Axel Stordahl | 17.0% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Adam Larson | 16.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Matthew King | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Carly Orhan | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 10.7% |
David Manley | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Eden Nykamp | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Cole Woerner | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
Lewis Bragg | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 20.2% |
Zachary Ward | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
Natalie Aramendia | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 39.7% |
Sydney Monahan | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Joey Meagher | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.