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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Axel Stordahl 17.0% 14.4% 14.4% 13.4% 11.3% 11.4% 7.5% 4.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Adam Larson 16.8% 14.7% 15.2% 12.3% 11.5% 9.2% 7.0% 7.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Matthew King 10.8% 11.4% 11.1% 10.9% 11.7% 10.9% 10.6% 9.2% 7.0% 3.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Carly Orhan 2.6% 4.0% 4.5% 4.0% 4.9% 6.4% 7.9% 10.2% 12.7% 15.3% 16.9% 10.7%
David Manley 9.0% 8.8% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 11.1% 10.0% 9.1% 10.7% 6.2% 3.1% 1.4%
Eden Nykamp 11.5% 11.7% 11.2% 10.9% 11.5% 11.3% 10.3% 9.1% 5.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Cole Woerner 3.2% 2.4% 1.9% 3.4% 4.7% 4.3% 6.2% 6.6% 10.6% 14.4% 20.8% 21.6%
Lewis Bragg 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 4.0% 3.4% 3.9% 5.1% 8.0% 9.7% 16.1% 21.6% 20.2%
Zachary Ward 5.2% 5.7% 5.5% 6.6% 7.6% 8.6% 9.6% 11.4% 13.4% 14.0% 8.7% 3.6%
Natalie Aramendia 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.9% 5.5% 8.1% 12.0% 18.8% 39.7%
Sydney Monahan 9.0% 9.7% 8.0% 10.7% 8.8% 9.4% 11.8% 11.4% 9.6% 6.4% 3.9% 1.2%
Joey Meagher 11.7% 12.8% 13.0% 11.8% 11.8% 10.4% 10.0% 7.5% 5.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.