← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.09+2.32vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University-1.38+0.67vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston0.76+0.78vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.44-1.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami-0.37+0.50vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-0.57-0.11vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University-0.01-2.02vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32North Carolina State University1.0918.2%1st Place
-
2.67Jacksonville University-1.3827.1%1st Place
-
3.78College of Charleston0.7613.4%1st Place
-
2.92University of South Florida1.4424.0%1st Place
-
5.5University of Miami-0.375.1%1st Place
-
5.89Duke University-0.573.4%1st Place
-
4.98Florida State University-0.017.1%1st Place
-
6.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.481.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Isabella du Plessis | 18.2% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
Emily Allen | 27.1% | 25.4% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Fredrikke Foss | 13.4% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
Sydney Monahan | 24.0% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
Sandra Heilshorn | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 14.8% |
Natalie Aramendia | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 29.5% | 18.6% |
Kathleen Lojko | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 7.1% |
Felicity Davies | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.