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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.50+2.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.06-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.85+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.58+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+2.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.70+2.68vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-4.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.21+2.06vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.36-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.97-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Stanford University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.3Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.59Stanford University3.060.3%1st Place
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6.49University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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9.68University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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9.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
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7.39California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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10.44University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Tullo | 15.7% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 35.0% | 29.0% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 26.5% | 27.5% | 23.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 8.2% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 11.4% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 22.3% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 67.0% |
| David Macko | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 27.4% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.