Race 3B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew King 11.7% 11.9% 10.5% 11.3% 11.7% 10.9% 9.8% 8.6% 7.8% 3.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Adam Larson 14.3% 15.9% 15.2% 13.9% 11.3% 9.5% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Sydney Monahan 8.5% 7.8% 9.3% 10.0% 10.8% 10.8% 10.6% 11.2% 8.9% 7.7% 3.5% 0.9%
Zachary Ward 6.1% 5.7% 5.8% 7.4% 7.0% 8.7% 10.0% 11.5% 12.6% 12.4% 9.2% 3.7%
David Manley 9.3% 9.0% 8.2% 9.4% 9.9% 10.3% 11.5% 12.7% 8.6% 6.7% 3.4% 1.1%
Axel Stordahl 14.5% 15.0% 15.5% 12.5% 11.1% 10.5% 7.9% 5.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Cole Woerner 2.8% 2.4% 3.0% 2.6% 3.6% 4.8% 6.0% 7.3% 11.5% 13.8% 22.1% 20.0%
Joey Meagher 13.5% 12.3% 12.0% 10.8% 11.2% 10.5% 9.1% 8.2% 6.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.5%
Eden Nykamp 12.0% 11.9% 11.6% 11.5% 12.2% 10.4% 9.7% 8.6% 6.5% 3.5% 2.0% 0.2%
Natalie Aramendia 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 4.6% 7.8% 11.6% 18.7% 41.5%
Lewis Bragg 2.4% 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 10.6% 15.3% 21.5% 20.8%
Carly Orhan 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 7.7% 9.2% 11.9% 17.3% 15.2% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.