← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.06+1.61vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.27+0.30vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.50+0.43vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.18vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+2.95vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California0.85+0.42vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.58-0.02vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.33+0.96vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.67vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.22vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.79vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.36-4.30vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-2.21-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.61Stanford University3.060.3%1st Place
-
2.3Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
-
3.43Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
-
7.95University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
6.42University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
6.98University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
8.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.330.0%1st Place
-
8.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
9.78University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
7.7California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
12.15University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 28.8% | 23.7% | 23.1% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 35.5% | 28.2% | 18.2% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 14.4% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Balslev | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 3.3% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 9.9% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 25.4% | 12.9% |
| David Macko | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 14.1% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.