Race 4B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
David Manley 7.2% 7.6% 8.1% 9.6% 10.8% 10.4% 11.5% 12.0% 11.4% 7.8% 2.9% 0.7%
Matthew King 9.6% 11.6% 10.4% 11.6% 10.8% 10.5% 11.9% 10.4% 7.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Adam Larson 15.0% 14.3% 15.2% 12.4% 11.2% 10.2% 8.5% 6.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Axel Stordahl 15.6% 13.6% 13.2% 12.4% 10.7% 11.1% 9.4% 6.9% 5.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 10.4% 11.9% 10.7% 10.2% 11.8% 11.7% 10.8% 9.5% 7.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Sydney Monahan 7.5% 8.3% 8.9% 10.4% 10.8% 9.6% 11.5% 12.3% 10.5% 6.4% 3.4% 0.3%
Aidan Dennis 17.3% 13.6% 13.6% 13.2% 10.6% 11.2% 8.1% 7.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Joey Meagher 11.2% 11.8% 11.8% 11.2% 12.2% 11.9% 10.4% 9.3% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Jason Goldsmith 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 4.2% 8.8% 14.2% 22.9% 37.6%
Lewis Bragg 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 5.9% 8.2% 12.8% 19.7% 21.4% 14.8%
Cole Woerner 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 5.8% 8.0% 13.8% 19.5% 20.1% 15.6%
Natalie Aramendia 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 4.0% 5.2% 9.0% 16.6% 25.0% 30.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.