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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+3.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+2.33vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+3.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.37vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90-2.06vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.83+4.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.45+4.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.26vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.20-3.49vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.22vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay1.63-3.93vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-3.30vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay1.63-5.93vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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4.33Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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3.3Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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7.81University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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3.94Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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8.48California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.51Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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10.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.07California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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11.7University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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10.07California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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14.66University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 15.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 15.0% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 23.9% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 17.3% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Katz | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 25.1% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 18.9% | 55.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.