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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+3.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+1.31vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+0.86vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.67vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.63+4.30vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+3.95vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-2.73vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University2.20-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley2.12-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-0.43vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay1.63-2.70vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.45-0.83vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-6.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.83-3.59vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.33-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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3.31Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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3.86Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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4.36Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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10.3California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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8.54Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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11.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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10.3California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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8.32California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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14.63University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 23.7% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 17.6% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 25.8% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Katz | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 17.6% | 55.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.