Race 5B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Larson 13.4% 14.8% 15.2% 13.4% 10.7% 10.9% 8.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Aidan Dennis 16.2% 14.4% 13.0% 12.2% 11.7% 12.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Axel Stordahl 15.8% 14.1% 13.6% 13.0% 11.1% 10.6% 9.3% 6.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Lewis Bragg 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% 7.5% 14.5% 20.7% 19.0% 15.3%
Joey Meagher 11.6% 11.1% 11.6% 12.2% 9.9% 11.6% 11.5% 8.6% 6.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Matthew King 10.2% 11.0% 10.8% 9.1% 12.2% 9.8% 11.9% 10.9% 7.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Cole Woerner 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 8.6% 13.4% 19.9% 20.2% 15.2%
Sydney Monahan 7.1% 8.2% 9.0% 10.5% 9.7% 10.9% 10.3% 12.7% 10.9% 7.0% 3.2% 0.5%
David Manley 8.6% 8.2% 7.3% 9.6% 10.4% 10.3% 10.9% 13.5% 11.0% 6.6% 3.0% 0.6%
Eden Nykamp 10.9% 11.7% 11.1% 11.3% 11.2% 10.1% 11.9% 9.2% 7.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.4%
Natalie Aramendia 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 1.2% 2.4% 2.1% 4.4% 4.5% 9.4% 15.0% 24.8% 31.2%
Jason Goldsmith 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 5.1% 8.6% 13.1% 24.0% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.