← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.70+3.28vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.90+1.88vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University4.19+0.28vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.72+0.37vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.32vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+5.67vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay1.63+3.28vs Predicted
-
8Santa Clara University2.20+0.37vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.45vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay1.63+0.28vs Predicted
-
11California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-2.47vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California2.47-4.32vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.15vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis0.83-1.69vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis0.45-1.85vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.38vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Berkeley2.12-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.28Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
-
3.88Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
-
3.28Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
-
4.37Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
11.67University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
10.28California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.37Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
-
7.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.28California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.53California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
-
7.68University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
-
10.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
12.31University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
-
13.15University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
-
14.62University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 14.7% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 19.4% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 23.9% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Katz | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 23.6% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 55.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.