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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
David Manley 7.8% 7.8% 9.1% 9.5% 9.5% 11.3% 11.6% 11.1% 11.3% 6.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Aidan Dennis 16.2% 14.1% 14.6% 13.1% 12.0% 8.6% 9.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 10.8% 10.1% 10.7% 10.8% 10.7% 12.1% 11.1% 11.1% 6.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.5%
Joey Meagher 11.9% 12.3% 12.0% 11.2% 11.8% 10.6% 10.1% 9.4% 6.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Adam Larson 15.9% 15.1% 13.2% 12.4% 12.6% 9.9% 8.4% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Axel Stordahl 14.0% 14.8% 12.7% 12.9% 11.4% 11.5% 9.3% 7.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Cole Woerner 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.6% 8.7% 14.8% 17.8% 19.9% 16.2%
Matthew King 9.3% 10.0% 11.5% 10.9% 11.2% 11.0% 11.1% 10.9% 8.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Sydney Monahan 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.2% 9.7% 11.6% 11.3% 12.4% 10.8% 7.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Lewis Bragg 2.5% 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.9% 5.3% 7.3% 11.3% 20.2% 22.6% 14.8%
Jason Goldsmith 0.9% 1.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 4.1% 9.1% 15.4% 22.5% 35.5%
Natalie Aramendia 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 4.0% 5.2% 9.5% 16.0% 23.9% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.