← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.05+1.59vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.44+1.52vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.80-0.01vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.93+0.64vs Predicted
-
5California State University Monterey Bay0.84+5.04vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+1.67vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+0.94vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis0.42+3.07vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.90vs Predicted
-
10Santa Clara University1.55-1.87vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-0.33vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.84-1.96vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.40-4.30vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.46-0.94vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-8.67vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-0.36-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.59Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
-
3.52Stanford University3.440.2%1st Place
-
2.99Stanford University3.800.2%1st Place
-
4.64Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
-
10.04California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
-
7.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.0%1st Place
-
7.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.13Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
-
10.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
-
10.04California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.7University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
-
13.06University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
-
6.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
-
12.75University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 31.8% | 24.5% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 16.9% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 24.0% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.0% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 21.3% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 23.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.