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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+2.20vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.62+0.88vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.78-0.74vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.88-1.59vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+1.99vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44-3.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-1.01vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.80-0.95vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.57-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of South Carolina1.187.8%1st Place
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4.21University of Miami1.9316.2%1st Place
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5.2University of South Florida1.5410.8%1st Place
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4.88Florida State University1.6211.9%1st Place
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4.26North Carolina State University1.7815.9%1st Place
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4.41College of Charleston1.8814.0%1st Place
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8.99Georgia Institute of Technology-0.081.9%1st Place
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5.29Jacksonville University1.559.3%1st Place
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5.89University of South Florida1.447.8%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.5%1st Place
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10.05Rollins College-0.800.9%1st Place
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9.95Duke University-0.570.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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David Manley | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
Aidan Dennis | 16.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Eden Nykamp | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
Joey Meagher | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Adam Larson | 15.9% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Axel Stordahl | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Cole Woerner | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
Matthew King | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Sydney Monahan | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Lewis Bragg | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 14.8% |
Jason Goldsmith | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 22.5% | 35.5% |
Natalie Aramendia | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 23.9% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.