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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.44+0.96vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.76+0.77vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.01+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.37+0.52vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-3.33vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.57-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36North Carolina State University1.0917.8%1st Place
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2.96University of South Florida1.4422.3%1st Place
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3.77College of Charleston0.7614.1%1st Place
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4.94Florida State University-0.015.9%1st Place
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5.52University of Miami-0.375.3%1st Place
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2.67Jacksonville University-1.3828.4%1st Place
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5.82Duke University-0.574.3%1st Place
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6.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.481.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 17.8% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 22.3% | 22.8% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 14.1% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Kathleen Lojko | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 6.5% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 24.2% | 14.0% |
| Emily Allen | 28.4% | 24.0% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 29.2% | 17.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.