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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+1.95vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+0.52vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44+0.57vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.84+6.00vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.93-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+1.67vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.55+1.08vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.92vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-3.61vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-0.39vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.84-2.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.40-4.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.36-1.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.46-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.42-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Stanford University3.800.2%1st Place
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2.52Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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3.57Stanford University3.440.2%1st Place
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10.0California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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4.7Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.0%1st Place
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8.08Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.98California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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10.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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10.0California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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12.9University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 24.3% | 23.4% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 32.7% | 25.5% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 15.3% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 22.3% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 22.7% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.