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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University2.24+1.00vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.16+2.66vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware1.33+0.10vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.99-0.44vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-1.30vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-2.30vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0American University2.240.4%1st Place
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4.66Ocean County College0.160.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Delaware1.330.2%1st Place
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3.56Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.7Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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3.7Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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3.98Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Hluchan | 44.1% | 28.8% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Derek Douglas | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 44.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Verrochi | 17.2% | 21.4% | 21.7% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 12.8% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 23.4% | 18.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 11.2% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 11.2% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 24.6% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.