Race 7A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
David Vinogradov 9.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.2% 10.0% 9.8% 9.3% 9.3% 8.5% 7.4% 5.4% 3.5% 0.5%
Jack Crager 10.2% 10.1% 8.8% 9.0% 9.9% 8.3% 10.3% 9.2% 8.0% 7.3% 4.5% 3.2% 1.1%
Everett Botwinick 13.9% 14.0% 13.4% 11.6% 10.8% 10.1% 7.5% 6.8% 5.9% 3.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Peter Foley 16.1% 14.5% 12.8% 11.2% 9.8% 9.8% 8.6% 6.8% 4.4% 3.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Olivia Lowthian 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 6.2% 5.3% 6.4% 7.4% 10.2% 12.3% 18.4% 15.3%
Sam Harris 3.4% 3.6% 4.2% 4.7% 5.4% 5.1% 6.9% 8.2% 8.8% 11.8% 12.8% 12.7% 12.4%
Gus Macaulay 14.5% 13.0% 12.0% 13.2% 11.1% 10.5% 7.4% 6.3% 4.5% 3.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Skylor Sweet 8.2% 9.3% 9.5% 9.1% 9.6% 9.2% 8.3% 9.4% 9.4% 8.1% 5.9% 3.5% 0.7%
Nathaniel Hartwell 4.5% 5.2% 5.9% 6.8% 6.8% 6.6% 8.8% 8.5% 8.8% 10.3% 11.8% 9.9% 6.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 8.9% 16.3% 44.9%
Gavin Hudson 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 6.6% 7.3% 8.1% 9.2% 8.7% 9.3% 8.8% 10.8% 8.6% 4.0%
Pierson Falk 3.8% 4.7% 5.5% 5.5% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 9.4% 10.1% 13.1% 13.2% 10.7%
Gavin Sanborn 6.6% 6.3% 6.3% 7.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.8% 9.2% 10.0% 10.5% 8.5% 7.9% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.