Race 3B

north-1-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Hans Henken 23.6% 22.4% 20.7% 14.6% 9.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk 9.3% 11.9% 15.6% 14.4% 16.4% 11.7% 8.7% 6.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Laube 31.7% 24.7% 17.9% 13.0% 8.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Axel Sly 17.4% 17.5% 16.4% 17.0% 13.1% 10.4% 4.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Francesca Cappellini 2.0% 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 7.0% 7.0% 8.9% 12.0% 10.7% 12.3% 10.6% 8.2% 5.6% 3.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Parker Smith 0.9% 2.1% 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 5.7% 5.5% 7.3% 9.4% 11.9% 10.4% 12.9% 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.0%
Grant Rickon 3.7% 3.6% 4.6% 5.8% 7.2% 9.3% 13.8% 13.1% 11.8% 8.6% 7.4% 6.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Gunnell 2.5% 2.6% 4.3% 5.4% 7.6% 9.4% 11.1% 11.0% 10.7% 12.5% 8.8% 6.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Alex Verdoia 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 2.7% 3.5% 5.5% 7.6% 8.8% 9.9% 11.1% 11.7% 11.6% 11.8% 9.3% 2.7% 0.0%
Joshua Goldberg 2.0% 1.5% 4.5% 3.7% 5.5% 9.1% 10.6% 11.4% 10.3% 12.2% 11.5% 7.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Joseph Schiff 4.2% 5.8% 7.0% 10.3% 12.5% 14.1% 11.2% 9.9% 9.3% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Murray 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 1.7% 1.3% 2.8% 4.3% 5.6% 7.2% 9.2% 9.3% 12.2% 17.8% 15.2% 11.0% 0.0%
Greg Kushnir 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 2.4% 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 5.5% 8.5% 7.0% 12.9% 13.3% 13.3% 14.1% 7.8% 0.0%
Parker Smith 0.9% 2.1% 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 5.7% 5.5% 7.3% 9.4% 11.9% 10.4% 12.9% 13.3% 9.4% 3.3% 0.0%
Jiachao Yang 0.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 2.3% 4.3% 3.4% 5.3% 9.3% 10.5% 21.7% 37.7% 0.0%
Ryan Wilkerson 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 3.3% 2.8% 3.3% 2.7% 6.3% 9.5% 12.7% 19.8% 34.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.