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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.88+3.44vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+3.31vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+2.41vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.62+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.90+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.18+0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+2.06vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.93-3.68vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+0.09vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.57+0.13vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.10-2.53vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44College of Charleston1.8815.1%1st Place
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5.31Jacksonville University1.559.4%1st Place
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5.41University of South Florida1.549.9%1st Place
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4.99Florida State University1.6210.8%1st Place
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6.4University of South Florida0.906.7%1st Place
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6.06University of South Carolina1.187.2%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.7%1st Place
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4.32University of Miami1.9316.5%1st Place
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9.09Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.5%1st Place
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10.13Duke University-0.571.4%1st Place
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8.47Rollins College0.103.0%1st Place
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4.32North Carolina State University1.7815.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Stordahl | 15.1% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| David Manley | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 20.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 16.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 21.6% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 42.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 11.4% |
| Adam Larson | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.