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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.58vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+1.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+1.61vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+6.59vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.80-1.95vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.84+4.05vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.84+3.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.40-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.72-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.36+0.76vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.55-4.73vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-5.78vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42-3.95vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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3.51Stanford University3.440.2%1st Place
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4.61Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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3.05Stanford University3.800.2%1st Place
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10.05California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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10.05California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.0%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.27Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.22California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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12.92University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 33.3% | 24.3% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 16.8% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.8% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 22.7% | 21.9% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 21.5% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.