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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.18+3.10vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.88+0.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+4.16vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.62-1.05vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.10+1.43vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54-2.75vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.90-3.67vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.57-0.85vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Jacksonville University1.559.9%1st Place
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4.33University of Miami1.9316.4%1st Place
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6.1University of South Carolina1.187.1%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston1.8814.3%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.5%1st Place
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4.95Florida State University1.6212.8%1st Place
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8.43Rollins College0.102.9%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida1.549.2%1st Place
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9.15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.081.7%1st Place
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6.33University of South Florida0.906.2%1st Place
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10.15Duke University-0.571.2%1st Place
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4.36North Carolina State University1.7815.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Axel Stordahl | 14.3% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 20.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 12.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 20.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 42.6% |
| Adam Larson | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.