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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+5.08vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+2.43vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.21vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.88+0.43vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.62-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90+0.62vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08+2.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.17vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.54-3.89vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.10-1.68vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.57-0.95vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08University of South Carolina1.186.9%1st Place
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4.43University of Miami1.9314.1%1st Place
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5.21Jacksonville University1.5510.3%1st Place
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4.43College of Charleston1.8814.5%1st Place
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4.99Florida State University1.6212.0%1st Place
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6.62University of South Florida0.906.2%1st Place
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9.17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.5%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.4%1st Place
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5.11University of South Florida1.5411.8%1st Place
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8.32Rollins College0.103.3%1st Place
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10.05Duke University-0.571.8%1st Place
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4.43North Carolina State University1.7814.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 14.5% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 20.3% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 21.2% | 20.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 11.3% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 42.9% |
| Adam Larson | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.