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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Larson 16.3% 15.7% 15.0% 11.3% 12.3% 10.2% 7.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Joey Meagher 12.3% 11.8% 13.3% 11.8% 10.2% 11.7% 9.7% 7.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Matthew King 10.4% 12.4% 11.5% 11.9% 9.3% 11.3% 11.2% 8.6% 6.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Sydney Monahan 8.8% 8.6% 8.7% 10.5% 10.2% 10.7% 12.0% 10.8% 9.4% 5.8% 3.5% 0.9%
Axel Stordahl 16.1% 16.5% 14.2% 11.7% 12.4% 9.3% 7.6% 6.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Lewis Bragg 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 5.8% 6.9% 10.8% 17.1% 21.4% 20.1%
David Manley 8.8% 9.1% 8.5% 9.7% 10.4% 10.1% 10.5% 10.7% 10.2% 6.8% 4.2% 0.9%
Carly Orhan 3.1% 3.9% 3.9% 4.7% 5.6% 7.0% 7.0% 8.6% 14.0% 16.2% 14.9% 11.1%
Eden Nykamp 12.7% 11.2% 11.8% 10.8% 12.1% 10.0% 9.8% 9.1% 6.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Zachary Ward 5.5% 4.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.1% 8.6% 10.2% 11.5% 12.8% 12.7% 8.6% 4.9%
Natalie Aramendia 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 4.0% 5.9% 6.9% 10.7% 20.6% 39.4%
Cole Woerner 2.7% 2.1% 2.9% 4.5% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 7.5% 10.6% 14.8% 20.8% 21.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.