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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+3.15vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+2.83vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+1.73vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.88-0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+3.12vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.18-1.20vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.10+0.15vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.54-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.84-2.92vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.57-1.09vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15North Carolina State University1.7816.3%1st Place
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4.83Florida State University1.6212.3%1st Place
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5.09Jacksonville University1.5510.4%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida1.448.8%1st Place
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4.16College of Charleston1.8816.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.8%1st Place
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5.8University of South Carolina1.188.8%1st Place
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8.15Rollins College0.103.1%1st Place
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4.96University of South Florida1.5412.7%1st Place
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7.08University of Miami0.845.5%1st Place
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9.91Duke University-0.571.5%1st Place
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9.01Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Adam Larson | 16.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Joey Meagher | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Matthew King | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Sydney Monahan | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Axel Stordahl | 16.1% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Lewis Bragg | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 20.1% |
David Manley | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
Carly Orhan | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.1% |
Eden Nykamp | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Zachary Ward | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
Natalie Aramendia | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 39.4% |
Cole Woerner | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.