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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+4.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.57+0.99vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.66+4.64vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.17-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.93+5.16vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-1.60vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.76+3.56vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.69-4.07vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.14-0.90vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.70-0.38vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.22+1.68vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-0.45+0.21vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-1.52+2.04vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-7.66vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.35-5.19vs Predicted
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18Vanderbilt University-0.03-4.99vs Predicted
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19Auburn University-0.78-3.66vs Predicted
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20University of Florida-1.13-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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2.99College of Charleston3.570.3%1st Place
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7.64Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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3.65University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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10.16University of North Carolina0.930.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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10.56Embry-Riddle University0.760.0%1st Place
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4.93Eckerd College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.1North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.62Rollins College0.700.0%1st Place
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13.68Duke University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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17.04Florida State University-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.34Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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11.81The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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13.01Vanderbilt University-0.030.0%1st Place
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15.34Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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15.92University of Florida-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Whipple | 27.6% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 18.7% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Largess | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 14.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Hurley | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maria Ayala | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Morton | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 3.7% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Weber | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| John Sutton | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 45.8% |
| John Reddaway | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Adam Kaplon | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 14.9% |
| Angela Skane | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 23.5% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.