Race 11B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joey Meagher 12.0% 12.7% 11.7% 11.3% 10.3% 11.6% 9.9% 8.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Sydney Monahan 8.8% 9.6% 9.0% 10.3% 8.7% 9.3% 11.1% 11.4% 9.8% 7.3% 3.3% 1.5%
Axel Stordahl 16.8% 14.6% 14.8% 13.6% 11.2% 9.1% 7.1% 6.7% 3.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Adam Larson 16.8% 15.2% 14.1% 11.7% 11.7% 10.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Matthew King 11.5% 11.3% 12.4% 10.6% 12.0% 10.0% 10.7% 7.8% 6.5% 5.1% 1.5% 0.5%
David Manley 8.9% 8.2% 9.4% 10.8% 9.7% 10.4% 10.5% 11.0% 8.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.1%
Zachary Ward 5.3% 6.4% 6.9% 6.6% 8.0% 8.6% 9.9% 10.8% 11.2% 12.7% 9.5% 4.2%
Lewis Bragg 2.5% 2.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 5.7% 7.3% 9.8% 15.3% 21.6% 19.6%
Carly Orhan 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 3.9% 5.3% 6.7% 7.8% 9.4% 14.6% 14.6% 16.9% 10.8%
Eden Nykamp 11.1% 11.5% 9.4% 11.9% 13.0% 11.5% 10.3% 8.5% 7.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Natalie Aramendia 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 3.9% 4.5% 8.3% 11.3% 18.1% 40.5%
Cole Woerner 1.7% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.4% 5.7% 7.9% 10.5% 14.8% 21.1% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.