Race 12B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
David Manley 9.4% 8.3% 10.3% 11.0% 8.5% 10.7% 9.7% 11.1% 9.1% 7.0% 3.6% 1.2%
Sydney Monahan 7.8% 9.3% 9.2% 9.4% 11.4% 10.9% 10.1% 10.8% 9.5% 6.9% 3.5% 1.0%
Axel Stordahl 16.8% 14.9% 14.4% 13.9% 11.9% 8.5% 7.4% 5.5% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Joey Meagher 11.6% 12.2% 12.3% 11.9% 10.9% 10.7% 10.4% 8.6% 6.3% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Adam Larson 16.2% 16.2% 15.3% 11.4% 12.3% 9.5% 7.9% 6.0% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Matthew King 12.2% 11.5% 10.5% 10.7% 12.6% 10.4% 9.5% 8.7% 7.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Carly Orhan 3.0% 4.3% 3.6% 4.2% 5.3% 6.7% 8.5% 9.2% 12.0% 16.4% 15.1% 11.8%
Eden Nykamp 12.0% 11.1% 10.0% 12.6% 10.9% 10.4% 11.2% 9.4% 6.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Lewis Bragg 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 5.8% 7.1% 12.3% 15.6% 21.2% 20.2%
Zachary Ward 5.8% 5.0% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0% 10.1% 9.8% 10.8% 13.5% 11.8% 8.5% 3.5%
Natalie Aramendia 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 3.7% 3.5% 5.5% 6.4% 11.4% 19.8% 41.4%
Cole Woerner 1.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.8% 4.1% 6.3% 7.3% 10.6% 15.9% 21.6% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.