← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+4.60vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.67+7.88vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.71+2.99vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.60+6.76vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.86+4.14vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.38+1.27vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.39+4.19vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.94+0.94vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.43+2.14vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.87+4.26vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.38-4.02vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.03vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.10-4.76vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.55-3.18vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.29-2.68vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College0.33+0.32vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.37vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-4.99vs Predicted
-
19Connecticut College0.38-2.97vs Predicted
-
20Northeastern University1.07-7.15vs Predicted
-
21Bates College-0.70-1.56vs Predicted
-
22Salve Regina University0.46-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.6University of Rhode Island2.7814.0%1st Place
-
9.88Tufts University1.674.4%1st Place
-
5.99Yale University2.7111.7%1st Place
-
10.76University of South Florida1.603.6%1st Place
-
9.14Brown University1.865.3%1st Place
-
7.27Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
-
11.19Boston University1.394.2%1st Place
-
8.94Roger Williams University1.947.2%1st Place
-
11.14Tufts University1.433.3%1st Place
-
14.26University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
-
6.98Bowdoin College2.389.4%1st Place
-
9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.0%1st Place
-
8.24Harvard University2.106.7%1st Place
-
10.82Brown University1.554.2%1st Place
-
12.32University of Michigan1.292.6%1st Place
-
16.32Dartmouth College0.331.6%1st Place
-
17.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
-
13.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.1%1st Place
-
16.03Connecticut College0.381.2%1st Place
-
12.85Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
-
19.44Bates College-0.700.4%1st Place
-
15.49Salve Regina University0.461.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Billy Vogel | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 17.2% |
| Jack Derry | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Colby Green | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 44.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.