← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.67+8.80vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.38+5.26vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.71+3.10vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.55+7.00vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.10+3.22vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.86+3.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.87+7.20vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.94+1.19vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.78-3.31vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.60+0.60vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.38-4.07vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University0.46+3.71vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan1.29-1.12vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College0.33+2.33vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.03vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.07-3.36vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-4.15vs Predicted
-
18Boston University1.39-6.76vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University1.43-7.70vs Predicted
-
20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.54vs Predicted
-
21Connecticut College0.38-4.89vs Predicted
-
22Bates College-0.70-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.8Tufts University1.675.1%1st Place
-
7.26Dartmouth College2.389.8%1st Place
-
6.1Yale University2.7111.4%1st Place
-
11.0Brown University1.553.5%1st Place
-
8.22Harvard University2.106.5%1st Place
-
9.3Brown University1.865.1%1st Place
-
14.2University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
-
9.19Roger Williams University1.945.2%1st Place
-
5.69University of Rhode Island2.7812.2%1st Place
-
10.6University of South Florida1.604.0%1st Place
-
6.93Bowdoin College2.389.5%1st Place
-
15.71Salve Regina University0.461.5%1st Place
-
11.88University of Michigan1.293.1%1st Place
-
16.33Dartmouth College0.331.2%1st Place
-
9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.0%1st Place
-
12.64Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
-
12.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.5%1st Place
-
11.24Boston University1.393.5%1st Place
-
11.3Tufts University1.433.0%1st Place
-
17.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.6%1st Place
-
16.11Connecticut College0.381.3%1st Place
-
19.23Bates College-0.700.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
| Billy Vogel | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Jack Derry | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
| Colby Green | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.