Race 8A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gavin Hudson 5.7% 6.1% 7.8% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 8.4% 9.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.3% 8.3% 3.8%
David Vinogradov 8.9% 8.4% 8.0% 9.8% 10.6% 10.5% 9.3% 8.8% 7.9% 7.6% 5.1% 3.9% 1.1%
Gus Macaulay 13.0% 14.5% 11.6% 11.3% 10.6% 9.2% 9.8% 7.7% 5.5% 3.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack Crager 8.3% 9.8% 10.7% 9.9% 10.4% 9.8% 9.7% 8.9% 8.7% 6.2% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 2.9% 4.4% 4.5% 5.4% 9.8% 15.1% 47.5%
Pierson Falk 4.2% 4.4% 3.8% 5.4% 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 6.8% 8.2% 11.6% 13.6% 14.1% 9.2%
Everett Botwinick 14.5% 13.7% 13.6% 11.1% 10.8% 9.3% 7.5% 7.4% 4.9% 3.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Peter Foley 16.7% 13.9% 13.7% 12.0% 10.9% 8.8% 7.1% 5.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.4%
Gavin Sanborn 6.5% 6.6% 6.4% 5.9% 7.0% 7.6% 9.2% 9.5% 10.2% 10.6% 8.7% 7.2% 4.6%
Olivia Lowthian 3.9% 3.9% 3.5% 4.8% 4.3% 5.4% 5.6% 6.1% 8.5% 9.7% 13.4% 16.8% 14.2%
Duncan Craine 8.8% 8.1% 9.2% 9.8% 8.6% 9.0% 10.4% 9.6% 8.3% 7.3% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4%
Sam Harris 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 5.7% 6.8% 8.2% 11.7% 11.8% 16.0% 11.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 4.9% 5.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 7.4% 8.6% 10.2% 10.1% 11.7% 10.3% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.