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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University2.24+1.01vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.16+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware1.33+0.11vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.99-0.44vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72-0.95vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-2.37vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.98-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01American University2.240.4%1st Place
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4.64Ocean County College0.160.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Delaware1.330.2%1st Place
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3.56Penn State University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.05Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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3.63Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
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3.63Rochester Institute of Technology0.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Hluchan | 44.1% | 28.5% | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Derek Douglas | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 44.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Verrochi | 17.6% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 12.8% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 8.3% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 23.8% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 12.0% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hunt | 12.0% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.