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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.43+10.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+5.32vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+6.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.86+5.28vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+6.03vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+5.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.94+2.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+4.85vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.87+5.31vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.67-0.17vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-3.86vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07+0.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-7.41vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.71-8.04vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.38+1.28vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.29-3.97vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.60-6.38vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.70+1.29vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.23vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University0.46-4.61vs Predicted
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21Dartmouth College0.33-4.64vs Predicted
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22Harvard University2.10-13.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.27Tufts University1.433.5%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.388.3%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.8%1st Place
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9.28Brown University1.864.3%1st Place
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11.03Brown University1.553.9%1st Place
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11.2Boston University1.393.2%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University1.946.2%1st Place
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12.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.6%1st Place
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14.31University of Vermont0.871.9%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University1.674.5%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.387.8%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.073.6%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island2.7813.2%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.7112.0%1st Place
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16.28Connecticut College0.381.2%1st Place
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12.03University of Michigan1.293.2%1st Place
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10.62University of South Florida1.604.2%1st Place
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19.29Bates College-0.700.4%1st Place
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17.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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15.39Salve Regina University0.461.4%1st Place
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16.36Dartmouth College0.331.5%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.107.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Flores | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
| Billy Vogel | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Colby Green | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 43.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 21.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.